This is Iran betting on the midterms. That being said, are we going to storm Iran? There ARE important things that have been accomplished, and since we live at a time when every act is really just a sound bite, not one thing lasts longer than the current news cycle. The president could help matters if he would shut his pie hole every so often. THAT is a move that would really confuse the enemy.
Yes, calling a Mostly Only Useless piece of paper designed to move the ball down the field rather than be a final solution a “deal” with implications of finality and enforcement is a mistaken framing that enables all sorts of atrawman arguments. As Potus said, it doesn’t need enforcement provisions. He inly cares about behavior. If they misbehave it’s back to bombing. Fair point about draw down but I suspect USA will have all the lethality it needs. The Israel dynamic is an interesting point. Israel needs the US and knows we are a key supporter, evidenced by Trump 1.0 and 2.0 actions.
While I agree with your assessment, much of what you argue cuts both ways. The Mullahcrats have to at least pretend they're playing in the game for the next few months. If they decide to get too frisky...we'll just bring out the big stick once more. "Proximity" is a protean term: unless it gets defined, it can mean...nothing at all, since at the moment we're exercising our blockade from outside the Gulf.
And if Trump can get past the midterms without getting hammered...well.
Gas prices are down and the Democrats appear to have lost the redistricting wars. So GOP chances look pretty good right now.
And as far as Israel goes, my own view of this--based entirely on my assessment of both Israeli and American actions in the past, not on any actual inside info--is that it's a rope-a-dope, "good cop/bad cop" approach.
By excluding Israel from the negotiations, Trump gives them plausible deniability if they resume military action against Hezbollah or any other of their near-neighbor enemies.
Sure...there will be plenty of chin music on the Administration's part--to say nothing of Congress and the media--if so, but..."Gosh, boys, what can I do? They're a sovereign country and I can't dictate their actions, now can I?"
By the same token it gives us plausible deniability when--not if--Israel decides to go loud.
Trump's negotiations are the carrot. Israel's demonstrated capacity and willingness for knocking Mullahcrat dicks into the dirt is the stick.
Thankful that someone (ahem) put in the effort to distill the essence of the agreement to make an agreement.
Suspect two things: first, that President Trump was correct in observing that in the Middle East, a ceasefire (a cousin of 'peace') means shooting and bombing less emphatically; and second, that the day will come when the President will hand over the entire morass to the legislative body for its consideration. Have some sense that there will be a good bit of wagering on how close to the mid-terms the next 'huge' deal -- or retrest -- will be.
The Iranians are congenital liars and will not live up to their end of the bargain. Trump should have never stopped bombing them. The only thing these hajjis respect and fear is violence. According to Trump and Bessant Iran was within a month or so of having to stop pumping oil and were losing $400 million a day. Why did we stop?? This is not a good deal and it appears Trump knuckled under for some inexplicable reason and got rolled. Three time Trump voter.
This is Iran betting on the midterms. That being said, are we going to storm Iran? There ARE important things that have been accomplished, and since we live at a time when every act is really just a sound bite, not one thing lasts longer than the current news cycle. The president could help matters if he would shut his pie hole every so often. THAT is a move that would really confuse the enemy.
Yes, calling a Mostly Only Useless piece of paper designed to move the ball down the field rather than be a final solution a “deal” with implications of finality and enforcement is a mistaken framing that enables all sorts of atrawman arguments. As Potus said, it doesn’t need enforcement provisions. He inly cares about behavior. If they misbehave it’s back to bombing. Fair point about draw down but I suspect USA will have all the lethality it needs. The Israel dynamic is an interesting point. Israel needs the US and knows we are a key supporter, evidenced by Trump 1.0 and 2.0 actions.
While I agree with your assessment, much of what you argue cuts both ways. The Mullahcrats have to at least pretend they're playing in the game for the next few months. If they decide to get too frisky...we'll just bring out the big stick once more. "Proximity" is a protean term: unless it gets defined, it can mean...nothing at all, since at the moment we're exercising our blockade from outside the Gulf.
And if Trump can get past the midterms without getting hammered...well.
Gas prices are down and the Democrats appear to have lost the redistricting wars. So GOP chances look pretty good right now.
And as far as Israel goes, my own view of this--based entirely on my assessment of both Israeli and American actions in the past, not on any actual inside info--is that it's a rope-a-dope, "good cop/bad cop" approach.
By excluding Israel from the negotiations, Trump gives them plausible deniability if they resume military action against Hezbollah or any other of their near-neighbor enemies.
Sure...there will be plenty of chin music on the Administration's part--to say nothing of Congress and the media--if so, but..."Gosh, boys, what can I do? They're a sovereign country and I can't dictate their actions, now can I?"
By the same token it gives us plausible deniability when--not if--Israel decides to go loud.
Trump's negotiations are the carrot. Israel's demonstrated capacity and willingness for knocking Mullahcrat dicks into the dirt is the stick.
Thank you for this interpretation of a very smoke-filled room!
Thankful that someone (ahem) put in the effort to distill the essence of the agreement to make an agreement.
Suspect two things: first, that President Trump was correct in observing that in the Middle East, a ceasefire (a cousin of 'peace') means shooting and bombing less emphatically; and second, that the day will come when the President will hand over the entire morass to the legislative body for its consideration. Have some sense that there will be a good bit of wagering on how close to the mid-terms the next 'huge' deal -- or retrest -- will be.
The Iranians are congenital liars and will not live up to their end of the bargain. Trump should have never stopped bombing them. The only thing these hajjis respect and fear is violence. According to Trump and Bessant Iran was within a month or so of having to stop pumping oil and were losing $400 million a day. Why did we stop?? This is not a good deal and it appears Trump knuckled under for some inexplicable reason and got rolled. Three time Trump voter.