22 Comments
Jul 15Liked by Gerald Posner

For most people, fantasy is more exciting than reality.

In most cases, the truth is the simplest answer with the least number of variables.

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Jul 15Liked by Gerald Posner

Gerald, wouldn't this be more properly referred to as an attempted assassination? In any event, your commentary is spot on as always. Fred

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Jul 15Liked by Gerald Posner

100% Agreed. Things will develop. Everyone wants instant. Things don’t work that way. I look forward to your Opinion piece!

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Jul 15Liked by Gerald Posner

"How about waiting for the facts to emerge?"

But no one wants to do that. I watched insanely theories arise about the flooding of New Orleans and the people who live there 19 years ago during Katrina. And the media jumping to get a story out there knowing they had an engaged hungry audience. It took ten years for the full and true story to emerge.

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author

As you know all too well, real journalism takes time, alas

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Jul 15Liked by Gerald Posner

Real journalism takes time. May I quote you?

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author

With pleasure

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For now, the question that intrigues me is how the shooter got up on the roof? Obviously, he climbed a ladder and X photos have shown a ladder leaning against a little building wedged between two bigger and taller buildings.

Did the shooter bring that ladder with him? If he did, how could hundreds/thousands of people have missed a 20-year-old carrying a rifle and a ladder? Or: Was the ladder already there? If so, who put the ladder there and when did he/they do this?

Why didn't any security review spot a ladder leaned up against a building that could serve as a sniper's nest if the shooter could get on the rooftop?

If it's a permanent ladder, how did the shooter know about it or know this was an easy way to get up on a building and fire his shots? Wouldn't this ladder have been taken down before a Trump rally?

Basically, no ladder = "no assassination attempt" - and no dead innocent civilian and two critically-wounded spectators.

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author

ALL good questions - and part of a very long list of unanswered questions

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Yesterday, I overheard a radio discussion in which it was said that if social media companies forced conspiracy theorists to prove that their work is the truth (which most can't) before it could be published on sites, it would solve a lot of these problems. I really have to agree with that.

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They would want to outlaw "conspiracy" theories, but who gets to decide what is a conspiracy theory and what isn't? You've got to allow anyone who wants to pontificate on a conspiracy to pontificate away.

Ideally, silly theories will be quickly debunked by smarter posters on social media or the Internet.

Jeffrey Tucker has an excellent piece on how X - even with all the wrong stories that were published - became the "go-to" place for this breaking news events. The smartest or most significant details did crowd out many of the erroneous pieces. It definitely wasn't the original reporting of NBC or the NY Times that told us anything important.

https://brownstone.org/articles/during-the-crisis-free-speech-worked-brilliantly/

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author

Agreed. Some theories easily dismissed but many others highlight problems in the underlying issue

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The ideal filter that should exist in an open discussion is the reasoning power of the public.

We can see how well that works.

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author

But social media traffic (profits) would plummet - guess we won’t unfortunately see that one too soon )

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I wonder ,as you call Americans conspiracy theorists, if you have noticed we live in a low trust society? Americans believe in conspiracy theories because we've watched them unfold before our eyes for over 16 years! So before you go labeling people think about the society which we live.A country in which those in society in positions of authority,who should be trustworthy, lie systematically, hide facts and refuse to take responsibility for the results of thier incompetence. Remember conspiracies aren't by nature crackpot ideas that is a modern twisting of a legitimate word in order to deligitamize people with valid concerns.

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Conspiracies exist. Is there one here? It’s guesswork because we don’t have the information yet. People jump to conclusions they want and look for evidence that reinforces that. Here is a reply I put on X today to someone complaining about the government saying ‘lone gunman’ so quickly:

“I also dislike the rush by government officials to say it appears the work of a single person. Maybe. Maybe not. It takes time to really nail that question. And I agree that the early 'lone gunman' pronouncements create doubt with many people who have come to distrust - often with good reason - government statements on big investigations. I think, for instance, that they missed a possible ‘third man’ in the OKC bombing, and they missed the Saudi connections to 9/11. But that took a couple of years, in each instance, to get to those conclusions.”

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To plagiarize (can't leave Biden out of this to be fair) a phrase, how many people think wrestling is real and the moon landing fake?

At least as many as there are people that both pay attention, and spend the time to analyze the facts.

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In the case of the Trump attempt assassination it seems on the surface a lackadaisical approach to security. Trump got the C team, while Dr. Jill, in Pittsburgh, the same day got the real secret service.

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“Attempted assassination “

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As a fourteen year old during the JFK assassination, I studied the conspiracy angle with fascination for decades. In 1998, I had a fortuitous opportunity to discuss the whole JFK case during a four flight with Governor John Connally. In 1993, 'Case Closed' brought the case home to logic and common sense. The phrase: "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence" is applicable in JFK research as well as the latest assassination attempt on July 13.

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Gerald, you can't place Oswald on the sixth floor at the time of the shooting. You've said yourself that he'd have been acquitted if Mark Lane had defended him in court. You got a best seller out of it, but it's time to drop the pretense. Oswald was the patsy. He didn't do it.

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